Oregon State Seal

OREGON HOUSE REPUBLICANS

Research Briefing

June 18, 2010

MAY (UN)EMPLOYMENT REPORT UNDERMINES DEMOCRAT SPIN ON ECONOMY

Private Sector Continues to Struggle Under Democratic Control of Salem

 

While Democratic leaders tout expansion, jobs and economic recovery…

“We are seeing business expansion, increased jobs, and clear signs that we have begun to emerge from the depths of the 2009 recession. Now is not the time to panic.”

(News Release: Legislature Must Have Specific Plan Before Coming Into Session, Offices of the House Speaker and Senate President, 6/7/2010)

 

…Reality Tells a Very Different Story.

“Oregon's economy is stuck in neutral, with employment and unemployment both stalled and no big industry poised to give the state a shove.”

 

“The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained at 10.6 percent in May, officials said Tuesday, the same as in March and April -- and essentially unchanged for seven months. Oregon neither added nor lost payroll jobs last month, following a revised gain of 5,500 in April.

“Yet every major industry -- except construction and manufacturing -- lost jobs in May, when adjusted for normal seasonal variations. Oregon’s total payroll employment would have dropped last month, if not for the addition of 4,451 Census workers, whose federally funded jobs will wind up this summer.”

(Oregon Unemployment Stuck in Neutral, Report Suggests, Richard Read, The Oregonian, 6/10/2010)

 

Unemployment Likely to Stay Above 10 Percent...

“[State economist Tom] Potiowsky won’t be surprised if Oregon’s unemployment rate remains above 10 percent at year’s end. Even as the labor force has grown, he said, ‘we still have a total employment today which is slightly less than what we had 10 years ago.’” (Oregon Unemployment Stuck in Neutral, Report Suggests, Richard Read, The Oregonian, 6/10/2010)

 

While total private sector employment is down by nearly 25,000 jobs since May 2009, government has increased its payroll by 4,700 jobs in that same period. There are currently 203,000 Oregonians out of work.

(Information from an Oregon Employment Department press release, Oregon’s Employment Situation: May 2010, 6/15/2010)

 

…as Hunt’s, Courtney’s expensive “stimulus” plan fell flat.

“State officials boast more than 7,500 jobs have been “created or retained” by the 2009 Legislature's trumpeted economic stimulus package, a feat just shy of the 8,000-plus jobs reported for Oregon under the far bigger federal stimulus program.”

“Key findings of The Oregonian's analysis

Average length of a Go Oregon job was about two weeks.

Everyone working on a Go Oregon project was counted as a job, even those who were already employed and in no danger of being laid off.

One out of four Go Oregon workers was from out of state.

Counties with high unemployment got a smaller share of the money.

“An analysis by The Oregonian shows that, on average, Go Oregon jobs lasted about two weeks and did little or nothing to dent the state's bleak employment outlook. It also shows the state counted anyone working on a stimulus-related project as a job, regardless of whether the worker was already employed and in no danger of being laid off.

“Furthermore, one in four workers employed in Go Oregon jobs was not a resident of the state.”  (Oregon stimulus boast stretches facts on job creation, retention, Harry Esteve, The Oregonian, 3/13/2010)